ALL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALL - The Allstate Corporation
$207.55
-7.64 (-3.55%)
▼
5d:
+4.3%
30d:
+0.14%
90d:
+6.57%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Feb 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
TODAY
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2 traders called ALL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.85
Based on -27.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.40
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALL is currently trading at $207.55, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $195.37 to $208.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 222.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $192.67, while resistance sits at $216.75. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $236.38 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $192.67, while resistance sits at $216.75. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $236.38 (+13.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$195.37 -
$208.76
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($236.38)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$195.37 -
$208.76
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$192.67
Resistance Level
$216.75
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Feb 6, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.43
Wall Street Target
$236.38
(+13.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
222.2%
Profit Margin
12.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 8.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$207.13
(0%)
2-Year Target
$206.72
(0%)
3-Year Target
$206.31
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$207.94
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -58.7%)
$539.21
(+160%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: -58.7%)
$203.92
(-2%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: -58.7%)
$173.33
(-17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $39.55
Bull Case
$147.30
(-29%)
Analyst growth -37.8%, PE expands to 6.0
Base Case
$133.91
(-36%)
Market implied -37.8%, PE stable at 5.4
Bear Case
$146.33
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 8.5
Stabilization Target:
$209.19
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: February 08, 2026 11:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Suren Gupta
SELL
19593 shares
2026-01-07
Suren Gupta
SELL
3786 shares
2025-11-28
Suren Gupta
SELL
750 shares
2025-11-26
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