CBRL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CBRL - Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc,.
$27.76
1.02 (3.81%)
▲
5d:
+3.04%
30d:
-15.16%
90d:
+6.97%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 09, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
CBRL is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $32.5 2026-04-17 with 104 OI. Call ratio: 74% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CBRL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CBRL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.68
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.60
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CBRL is currently trading at $27.76, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.34 to $31.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 52.1) compared to its historical average (42.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $26.35, while resistance sits at $29.23. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CBRL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.57 (+13.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CBRL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $26.35, while resistance sits at $29.23. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: CBRL has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.57 (+13.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$27.34 -
$31.57
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.57)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.7% growth with -7.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$27.34 -
$31.57
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.35
Resistance Level
$29.23
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
52.06
Wall Street Target
$31.57
(+13.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.2%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.7% premium
PE vs Historical
52.1 vs 42.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.62
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$31.60
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$33.72
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 52→43)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.72
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CBRL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tim Moore
SELL
2026-01-05
Tim Moore
BUY
2025-12-31
Gmt Capital Corp
SELL
42400 shares
2025-12-29
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Advanced CBRL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CBRL price and gamma walls.
