QSR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QSR - Restaurant Brands International Inc.
$74.79
3.33 (4.66%)
▲
5d:
+2.13%
30d:
+4.5%
90d:
-0.41%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QSR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QSR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.27
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QSR is currently trading at $74.79, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.07 to $74.77. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 100% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QSR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: QSR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.92 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QSR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $75.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: QSR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.92 (+14.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$72.07 -
$74.77
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($85.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.07 -
$74.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.99
Resistance Level
$75.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.85
Wall Street Target
$85.92
(+14.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
100.0%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 17.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.57
(0%)
2-Year Target
$74.34
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$74.12
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
$74.78
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$126.73
(+69%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 9.4%)
$98.04
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 9.4%)
$83.34
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.11
Bull Case
$112.18
(+50%)
Analyst growth 42.7%, PE expands to 25.3
Base Case
$101.99
(+36%)
Market implied 42.7%, PE stable at 23.0
Bear Case
$48.59
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.9 to 17.0
Stabilization Target:
$75.45
(+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 4:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is QSR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Housman
SELL
20000 shares
2026-03-20
Jill Granat
SELL
25000 shares
2026-03-18
Joshua Kobza
SELL
200000 shares
2026-03-18
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