CGNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CGNX - Cognex Corp
$38.74
-0.35 (-0.90%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
9d
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1 traders called CGNX this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CGNX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CGNX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.87
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.10
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CGNX is currently trading at $38.74, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.93 to $40.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 34.3) is in line with its historical norms (32.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.05 (+24.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $48.05 (+24.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$36.93 -
$40.09
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.0% below Wall St target ($48.05)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with 18.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$36.93 -
$40.09
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.33
Resistance Level
$42.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.27
Wall Street Target
$48.05
(+24.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-41.2%
Profit Margin
11.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
34.3 vs 32.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$39.32
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$39.91
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$40.51
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→33)
PE COMPRESSION
$38.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.3, Growth: 17.5%)
$62.79
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 17.5%)
$40.86
(+6%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 17.5%)
$34.73
(-10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 26.74 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.45
Bull Case
$46.78
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.1
Base Case
$38.74
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$29.64
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CGNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert Willett
SELL
6704 shares
2025-10-21
Sheila Marie Dipalma
SELL
2000 shares
2025-09-08
Sheila Marie Dipalma
SELL
2002 shares
2025-09-05
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CGNX price and gamma walls.
