FTV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTV - Fortive Corporation
$62.65
0.85 (1.38%)
▲
5d:
+1.49%
30d:
+4.14%
90d:
+12.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FTV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FTV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.96
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTV is currently trading at $62.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.68 to $61.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.5) is in line with its historical norms (18.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $62.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FTV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTV is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $62.83. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FTV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$59.68 -
$61.74
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($63.57)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with 7.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$59.68 -
$61.74
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.88
Resistance Level
$62.83
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.47
Wall Street Target
$63.57
(+1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.4%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
19.5 vs 18.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.59
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$64.54
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$65.51
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$62.60
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$86.84
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 7.4%)
$77.62
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 7.4%)
$65.97
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$127.95
(+104%)
Analyst growth 88.2%, PE expands to 39.8
Base Case
$116.32
(+86%)
Market implied 88.2%, PE stable at 36.1
Bear Case
$42.02
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kate Mitchell
SELL
7131 shares
2026-02-18
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