FTV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTV - Fortive Corporation
$58.92
-0.50 (-0.84%)
▼
5d:
-3.25%
30d:
-0.76%
90d:
+5.21%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
FTV is down 3.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $65 2026-06-18 with 96 OI. Call ratio: 89% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FTV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FTV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.34
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTV is currently trading at $58.92, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.81 to $61.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTV is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$58.81 -
$61.29
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($63.47)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$58.81 -
$61.29
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.50
Resistance Level
$61.57
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.30
Wall Street Target
$63.47
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.4%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 18.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.57
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$58.22
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$57.87
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$58.80
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 7.6%)
$88.40
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 7.6%)
$73.42
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 7.6%)
$62.41
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$122.85
(+109%)
Analyst growth 88.2%, PE expands to 38.2
Base Case
$111.69
(+90%)
Market implied 88.2%, PE stable at 34.7
Bear Case
$40.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.3 to 18.6
Stabilization Target:
$59.87
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kate Mitchell
SELL
7131 shares
2026-02-18
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Advanced FTV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FTV price and gamma walls.
