COHR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COHR - Coherent Corp.
$333.36
-35.29 (-9.57%)
▼
5d:
-18.14%
30d:
-21.91%
90d:
+34.53%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
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Smart Money Accumulation
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Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: COHR is down 18.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: COHR is down 18.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$398.08
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$247.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COHR is currently trading at $333.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $362.63 to $408.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 40.8) is in line with its historical norms (37.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COHR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $325.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $384.45 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COHR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $325.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $384.45 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$362.63 -
$408.26
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding COHR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($384.45)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -18.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$362.63 -
$408.26
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$325.66
Resistance Level
$439.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.77
Wall Street Target
$384.45
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
73.0%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
40.8 vs 37.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$343.03
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$352.98
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$363.21
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 41→37)
PE COMPRESSION
$333.20
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.8, Growth: 50.0%)
$1124.59
(+237%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 50.0%)
$600.79
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 50.0%)
$510.67
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (41x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 42.55 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.83
Bull Case
$402.53
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 44.7
Base Case
$333.36
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 42.6
Bear Case
$255.02
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 38.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 06, 2026 12:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COHR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Sherri R Luther
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-22
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-25
Howard H Xia
SELL
3240 shares
2026-03-17
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