KEYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KEYS - Keysight Technologies, Inc.
$313.86
-21.74 (-6.48%)
▼
5d:
-12.83%
30d:
-9.44%
90d:
+8.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 18, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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1 traders called KEYS this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KEYS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KEYS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$478.76
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$297.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KEYS is currently trading at $313.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $330.90 to $356.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.5) is in line with its historical norms (28.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 35.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEYS is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $311.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: KEYS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $383.08 (+22.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KEYS is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $311.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: KEYS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $383.08 (+22.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$330.90 -
$356.94
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KEYS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.1% below Wall St target ($383.08)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-12.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$330.90 -
$356.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$311.32
Resistance Level
$374.96
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.47
Wall Street Target
$383.08
(+22.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
31.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.6%
Profit Margin
17.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.5 vs 28.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$307.90
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$302.05
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$296.31
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→28)
$313.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.5, Growth: 16.3%)
$493.71
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.3%)
$406.21
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 16.3%)
$345.27
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 26.81 | Forward EPS (Implied): $11.71
Bull Case
$378.99
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 28.2
Base Case
$313.86
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.8
Bear Case
$240.10
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.5 to 28.0
Stabilization Target:
$331.98
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 7:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KEYS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Jeffrey K Li
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-24
Neil Dougherty
SELL
2000 shares
2026-03-24
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Advanced KEYS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KEYS price and gamma walls.
