CL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CL - Colgate-Palmolive Company

PERFUMES, COSMETICS & OTHER TOILET PREPARATIONS
$90.29
5.05 (5.92%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your CL Gains
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.51
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.03
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CL is currently trading at $90.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.80 to $85.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.2) is in line with its historical norms (21.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $90.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.9% recently.

Market Sentiment: CL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $78.80 - $85.70
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

Protect Your Profits

CL is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above fair value)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.9%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($88.89)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $78.80 - $85.70
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $83.55
Resistance Level $90.71
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.19
Wall Street Target $88.89 (+4.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 1.1%
Profit Margin 14.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.6% premium
PE vs Historical 22.2 vs 21.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $86.60 (+2%)
2-Year Target $87.99 (+3%)
3-Year Target $89.40 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→21) PE COMPRESSION $85.02 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.2%) $99.64 (+17%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.2, Growth: 5.2%) $99.13 (+16%)
Bear: (PE: 18.9, Growth: 5.2%) $84.26 (-1%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.57
Bull Case $100.63 (+11%)
Analyst growth 7.6%, PE expands to 26.2
Base Case $91.48 (+1%)
Market implied 7.6%, PE stable at 23.8
Bear Case $57.80 (-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Rick Larsen SELL 2025-10-06
Ro Khanna SELL 2025-09-29
Julie Johnson SELL 2025-09-25

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