COTY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COTY - COTY INC
$2.06
-0.07 (-3.29%)
▼
5d:
-16.6%
30d:
-10.82%
90d:
-17.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
COTY is down 14.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $3 2026-06-18 with 371 OI. Call ratio: 97% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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3 traders called COTY this week
75% bullish • 1 bearish
75% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: COTY is down 16.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: COTY is down 16.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$4.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.71
23.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COTY is currently trading at $2.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.18 to $2.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.0) is in line with its historical norms (6.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COTY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.19 (+49.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COTY is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $3.19 (+49.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$2.18 -
$2.47
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding COTY? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 49.7% below Wall St target ($3.19)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -16.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$2.18 -
$2.47
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.05
Resistance Level
$2.71
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.99
Wall Street Target
$3.19
(+49.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-22.2%
Profit Margin
-9.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.0 vs 6.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.09
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$2.05
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$2.02
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$2.12
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 37.3%)
$20.26
(+851%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.0, Growth: 37.3%)
$5.51
(+159%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.1, Growth: 37.3%)
$4.68
(+120%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.0 to 6.3
Stabilization Target:
$2.24
(+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COTY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Bretten Gordon Von
BUY
83000 shares
2026-03-06
Laurent Mercier
BUY
5000 shares
2026-02-10
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COTY price and gamma walls.
