What is the fair value of CLF stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for CLF to be between $13.02 and $14.35. The current price is $13.76.

What is the analyst price target for CLF?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for CLF is $13.49. This implies a potential upside of -5.1% from current levels.

CLF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CLF - Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.

METAL MINING

$13.76

-0.45 (-3.17%) ▼

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Feb 09, 2026 8d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CLF trades at premium valuation expecting 8.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$7.11

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$4.42

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CLF is currently trading at $13.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.02 to $14.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 70.0) compared to its historical average (55.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CLF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Fair Price Range $13.02 - $14.35

Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 63.8%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($13.49)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.3% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.8% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $13.02 - $14.35

Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.59

Resistance Level $15.35

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 70.00

Wall Street Target $13.49 (-5.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.6%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -99.4%

Profit Margin -9.0%

Valuation Premium vs History +8.3% premium

PE vs Historical 70.0 vs 55.1 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +8.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $15.39 (+8%)

2-Year Target $16.67 (+17%)

3-Year Target $18.05 (+27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 70→55) PE COMPRESSION $14.21 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 PM

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Technical Signals Check

Is CLF showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

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NEUTRAL

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