CMCSA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CMCSA - Comcast Corp

CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES
$28.99
0.66 (2.31%) ▲
5d: -0.09%
30d: -6.38%
90d: -2.28%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026 23d
Smart Money Accumulation

CMCSA is down 4.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $35 2026-06-18 with 13,499 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CMCSA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.62
Based on 6.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.98
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CMCSA is currently trading at $28.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.20 to $31.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.3) is in line with its historical norms (7.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CMCSA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: CMCSA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $32.78 (+15.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $29.20 - $31.45
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($32.78)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $29.20 - $31.45
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $28.26
Resistance Level $30.79
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.26
Wall Street Target $32.78 (+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -52.5%
Profit Margin 16.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.3 vs 7.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $28.19 (-1%)
2-Year Target $28.05 (-1%)
3-Year Target $27.91 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→7) $28.44 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.0%) $110.04 (+288%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.3, Growth: 8.0%) $35.67 (+26%)
Bear: (PE: 6.2, Growth: 8.0%) $30.32 (+7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 5.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.39
Bull Case $23.58 (-19%)
Analyst growth -26.1%, PE expands to 5.9
Base Case $21.44 (-26%)
Market implied -26.1%, PE stable at 5.4
Bear Case $19.73 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.3 to 7.4
Stabilization Target: $28.87 (+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.9%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:48 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael T. McCaul SELL 2026-02-26
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-17
Michael J Cavanagh SELL 57947 shares 2026-02-11

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Advanced CMCSA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CMCSA price and gamma walls.

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