CHTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CHTR - Charter Comm Inc Del CL A New

CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES
$148.00
4.94 (3.45%) ▲
5d: -7.64%
30d: -32.82%
90d: -37.84%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 24, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

CHTR is down 9.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $230 2026-06-18 with 7,074 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$273.34
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$169.72
12.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CHTR is currently trading at $148.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $157.64 to $229.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.2) compared to its historical average (4.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CHTR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $141.76, while resistance sits at $175.05. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: CHTR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $245.31 (+65.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $157.64 - $229.85
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 65.8% below Wall St target ($245.31)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.6% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $157.64 - $229.85
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $141.77
Resistance Level $175.05
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.25
Wall Street Target $245.31 (+65.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 8.9%
Profit Margin 9.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 3.3 vs 4.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $133.35 (-10%)
2-Year Target $120.15 (-19%)
3-Year Target $108.25 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 3→4) $146.70 (-1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 8.8%) $1293.16 (+774%)
Base: (SPY PE: 3.2, Growth: 8.8%) $190.50 (+29%)
Bear: (PE: 2.8, Growth: 8.8%) $161.92 (+9%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (4x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 3.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $36.97
Bull Case $194.03 (+31%)
Analyst growth 23.3%, PE expands to 4.3
Base Case $176.39 (+19%)
Market implied 23.3%, PE stable at 3.9
Bear Case $97.28 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.2 to 4.4
Stabilization Target: $200.57 (+35.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +35.5%
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:43 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-23
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2026-03-13
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-17

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Advanced CHTR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CHTR price and gamma walls.

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