CMP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CMP - Compass Minerals International, Inc.
$29.51
-0.63 (-2.09%)
▼
5d:
+5.66%
30d:
+14.16%
90d:
+23.01%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CMP trades at premium valuation expecting 5.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: CMP trades at premium valuation expecting 5.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$31.02
4.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CMP is currently trading at $29.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.41 to $28.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.9) compared to its historical average (23.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.61, while resistance sits at $32.39.
Market Sentiment: CMP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $25.75. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CMP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $23.61, while resistance sits at $32.39.
Market Sentiment: CMP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $25.75. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$24.41 -
$28.06
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 14.6% above Wall St target ($25.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.5% growth with -8.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.41 -
$28.06
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.61
Resistance Level
$32.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.85
Wall Street Target
$25.75
(-14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-91.7%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.5% premium
PE vs Historical
27.9 vs 23.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.80
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$33.55
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$35.39
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.8, Growth: 32.8%)
$70.60
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 32.8%)
$55.88
(+85%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 32.8%)
$47.50
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.77 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.04
Bull Case
$36.39
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.5
Base Case
$30.14
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$23.06
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 12:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CMP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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