CNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CNC - Centene Corporation

HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS
$57.94
-0.77 (-1.30%) ▼
5d: +3.53%
30d: +48.55%
90d: +42.77%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your CNC Gains
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNC is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.65
9.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CNC is currently trading at $57.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.65 to $55.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.2) compared to its historical average (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CNC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $52.00, while resistance sits at $59.74.

Market Sentiment: CNC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $37.65 - $55.08
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.0%

Protect Your Profits

CNC is technically overbought (RSI 80). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.2% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($54.94)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $37.65 - $55.08
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $52.00
Resistance Level $59.74
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.16
Wall Street Target $54.94 (-6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 18.3%
Profit Margin -3.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.6% premium
PE vs Historical 13.2 vs 11.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $60.81 (+4%)
2-Year Target $63.00 (+7%)
3-Year Target $65.27 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→12) PE COMPRESSION $58.53 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 26.8%) $200.40 (+241%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 26.8%) $119.64 (+104%)
Bear: (PE: 11.2, Growth: 26.8%) $101.70 (+73%)
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-02-05
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-01-29

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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CNC price and gamma walls.

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