CNK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNK - Cinemark Holdings, Inc.
$27.80
-0.26 (-0.93%)
▼
5d:
-0.04%
30d:
-1.56%
90d:
+21.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CNK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.99
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.45
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNK is currently trading at $27.80, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.10 to $28.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.82 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CNK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.82 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$26.10 -
$28.07
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.82)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with -4.7% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$26.10 -
$28.07
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.03
Resistance Level
$28.40
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.88
Wall Street Target
$31.82
(+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.7%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.99
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$28.19
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$28.39
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.71
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.3%)
$76.02
(+174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 13.3%)
$40.42
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 13.3%)
$34.36
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.04
Bull Case
$58.15
(+109%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.0
Base Case
$52.86
(+90%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.4
Bear Case
$17.97
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Melissa Thomas
SELL
7944 shares
2026-02-04
Melissa Thomas
SELL
22082 shares
2025-12-10
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