LYV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LYV - Live Nation Entertainment Inc.
$159.78
1.14 (0.72%)
▲
5d:
+1.18%
30d:
+13.05%
90d:
+24.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 5, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
LYV is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $150 2026-03-20 with 6,930 OI. Call ratio: 69% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LYV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LYV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.65
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LYV is currently trading at $159.78, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $145.24 to $159.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 69.8) is in line with its historical norms (73.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $154.63, while resistance sits at $168.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $181.27 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LYV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $154.63, while resistance sits at $168.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $181.27 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$145.24 -
$159.73
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($181.27)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$145.24 -
$159.73
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$154.63
Resistance Level
$168.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 5, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
69.85
Wall Street Target
$181.27
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.1%
Profit Margin
2.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
69.9 vs 73.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$156.26
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$153.92
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$151.61
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 70→73)
$158.65
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 69.9, Growth: 51.2%)
$535.41
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.6, Growth: 51.2%)
$173.14
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.2, Growth: 51.2%)
$147.17
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (105x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (70x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 105.26 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.54
Bull Case
$195.78
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 110.5
Base Case
$162.14
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 105.3
Bear Case
$124.04
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 94.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 69.9 to 73.1
Stabilization Target:
$166.01
(+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 06, 2026 5:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LYV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-23
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2025-12-02
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Advanced LYV Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LYV price and gamma walls.
