DIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DIS - The Walt Disney Company
$99.50
3.79 (3.96%)
▲
5d:
+1.48%
30d:
-1.88%
90d:
+3.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DIS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DIS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.08
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.81
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DIS is currently trading at $99.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.33 to $102.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $98.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: DIS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.94 (+30.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $98.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: DIS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.94 (+30.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$98.33 -
$102.76
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DIS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 30.6% below Wall St target ($129.94)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$98.33 -
$102.76
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.41
Resistance Level
$105.25
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.29
Wall Street Target
$129.94
(+30.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.8%
Profit Margin
11.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.71
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$94.01
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$91.37
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$99.71
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.7%)
$215.23
(+116%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 9.7%)
$131.31
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 9.7%)
$111.62
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.31 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.25
Bull Case
$126.14
(+27%)
Analyst growth 19.8%, PE expands to 16.8
Base Case
$114.67
(+15%)
Market implied 19.8%, PE stable at 15.3
Bear Case
$65.08
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 14.5
Stabilization Target:
$108.58
(+9.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
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