COIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
COIN - Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$194.74
-4.44 (-2.23%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
12d
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19 traders called COIN this week
85% bullish • 4 bearish
85% bullish • 4 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: COIN is down 10.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: COIN is down 10.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$118.38
Based on -5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.50
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: COIN is currently trading at $194.74, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $216.55 to $249.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 30.5) compared to its historical average (35.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 430.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COIN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $190.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $337.46 (+69.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, COIN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $190.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $337.46 (+69.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$216.55 -
$249.15
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding COIN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 69.4% below Wall St target ($337.46)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$216.55 -
$249.15
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$190.96
Resistance Level
$243.19
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.52
Wall Street Target
$337.46
(+69.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
58.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
430.6%
Profit Margin
43.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
30.5 vs 35.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$188.82
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$179.00
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$169.70
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→36)
$199.05
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.5, Growth: -15.9%)
$145.20
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -15.9%)
$106.09
(-47%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -15.9%)
$90.18
(-55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 18.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.57
Bull Case
$130.81
(-34%)
Analyst growth -43.6%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$118.92
(-40%)
Market implied -43.6%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case
$143.36
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 30.5 to 35.8
Stabilization Target:
$233.63
(+17.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.3%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:04 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:04 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is COIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Alesia J Haas
SELL
1742 shares
2025-10-15
Alesia J Haas
SELL
4400 shares
2025-10-15
Brian Armstrong
SELL
25000 shares
2025-10-13
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Advanced COIN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's COIN price and gamma walls.
