DDL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DDL - Dingdong (Cayman) Limited American Depositary Shares (each two representing three Ordinary Shares)
$3.06
0.20 (6.99%)
β²
5d:
+10.87%
30d:
+22.89%
90d:
+68.13%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π HOLD: DDL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
π HOLD: DDL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.44
Based on 13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.38
9.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DDL is currently trading at $3.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.66 to $2.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.5) is in line with its historical norms (1.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.55, while resistance sits at $3.19. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $2.59. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DDL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.55, while resistance sits at $3.19. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $2.59. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$2.66 -
$2.95
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.0%)
- BEARISH: Trading 15.3% above Wall St target ($2.59)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with 1.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$2.66 -
$2.95
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.55
Resistance Level
$3.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.50
Wall Street Target
$2.59
(-15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.5%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.7% premium
PE vs Historical
1.5 vs 1.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.14
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$3.23
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$3.31
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2β1)
PE COMPRESSION
$3.10
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 23.8%)
$86.51
(+2727%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.5, Growth: 23.8%)
$5.80
(+90%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.3, Growth: 23.8%)
$4.93
(+61%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.19
Bull Case
$3.81
(+24%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case
$3.46
(+13%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$1.18
(-62%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 4:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DDL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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