DDL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DDL - Dingdong (Cayman) Limited American Depositary Shares (each two representing three Ordinary Shares)

Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses
$3.06
0.20 (6.99%) β–²
5d: +10.87%
30d: +22.89%
90d: +68.13%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026 29d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: DDL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.44
Based on 13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.38
9.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DDL is currently trading at $3.06, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.66 to $2.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.5) is in line with its historical norms (1.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DDL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.55, while resistance sits at $3.19. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $2.59. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $2.66 - $2.95
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 49.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.0%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 15.3% above Wall St target ($2.59)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.7% growth with 1.9% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $2.66 - $2.95
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.55
Resistance Level $3.19
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 1.50
Wall Street Target $2.59 (-15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -70.5%
Profit Margin 1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.7% premium
PE vs Historical 1.5 vs 1.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.14 (+3%)
2-Year Target $3.23 (+6%)
3-Year Target $3.31 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 2β†’1) PE COMPRESSION $3.10 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 23.8%) $86.51 (+2727%)
Base: (SPY PE: 1.5, Growth: 23.8%) $5.80 (+90%)
Bear: (PE: 1.3, Growth: 23.8%) $4.93 (+61%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.19
Bull Case $3.81 (+24%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.0
Base Case $3.46 (+13%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case $1.18 (-62%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 4:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:26 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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