GO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GO - Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Common Stock
$7.59
0.19 (2.57%)
▲
5d:
-3.31%
30d:
+0.13%
90d:
-24.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
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2 traders called GO this week
50% bullish • 1 bearish
50% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.39
Based on 14.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.93
15.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GO is currently trading at $7.59, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.32 to $8.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.25, while resistance sits at $9.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.46 (+11.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $7.25, while resistance sits at $9.44.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.46 (+11.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$7.32 -
$8.07
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($8.46)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 3.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.32 -
$8.07
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.25
Resistance Level
$9.44
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.05
Wall Street Target
$8.46
(+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-50.7%
Profit Margin
-8.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.64
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$7.68
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$7.73
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.63
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 24.3%)
$26.73
(+252%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 24.3%)
$14.57
(+92%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 24.3%)
$12.39
(+63%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 9:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
11
Buys
6
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Jason J N Potter
BUY
2556 shares
2026-03-24
Jason J N Potter
BUY
110252 shares
2026-03-23
Erik D Ragatz
BUY
50000 shares
2026-03-19
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