DELL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DELL - Dell Technologies Inc.
$241.99
-5.90 (-2.38%)
▼
5d:
-7.09%
30d:
+25.32%
90d:
+105.97%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 28, 2026
9d
Smart Money Accumulation
DELL is down 7.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $300 2026-06-18 with 4,610 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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21 traders called DELL this week
78% bullish • 5 bearish
78% bullish • 5 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DELL trades at premium valuation expecting 15.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: DELL trades at premium valuation expecting 15.4% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$249.44
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$154.88
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DELL is currently trading at $241.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $186.69 to $234.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.2) compared to its historical average (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $205.70, while resistance sits at $263.99.
Market Sentiment: DELL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $197.04. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DELL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $205.70, while resistance sits at $263.99.
Market Sentiment: DELL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $197.04. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$186.69 -
$234.66
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding DELL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 18.6% above Wall St target ($197.04)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 15.4% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.1%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$186.69 -
$234.66
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$205.70
Resistance Level
$263.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.20
Wall Street Target
$197.04
(-18.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
57.3%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+15.4% premium
PE vs Historical
21.2 vs 13.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+15.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$279.26
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$322.26
(+33%)
3-Year Target
$371.89
(+54%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$242.12
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 15.4%)
$386.94
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.2, Growth: 15.4%)
$371.63
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 15.4%)
$241.95
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.78 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.68
Bull Case
$348.82
(+44%)
Analyst growth 31.5%, PE expands to 30.6
Base Case
$317.11
(+31%)
Market implied 31.5%, PE stable at 27.8
Bear Case
$163.95
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:17 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DELL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta
SELL
382000 shares
2026-04-16
Jeffrey W Clarke
SELL
116000 shares
2026-04-15
V (Gp) L.L.C. Slta
SELL
458666 shares
2026-04-15
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Advanced DELL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DELL price and gamma walls.
