DIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DIS - The Walt Disney Company
$112.80
1.22 (1.09%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 02, 2026
1d
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11 traders called DIS this week
91% bullish • 1 bearish
91% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DIS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DIS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$170.75
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$106.02
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DIS is currently trading at $112.80, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.38 to $114.33. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 187.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $114.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.23 (+18.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $114.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.23 (+18.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$111.38 -
$114.33
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($132.23)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$111.38 -
$114.33
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.76
Resistance Level
$114.29
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.21
Wall Street Target
$132.23
(+18.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
187.3%
Profit Margin
13.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 16.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.35
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$107.16
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$105.02
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$111.84
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.1%)
$224.21
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 11.1%)
$152.95
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 11.1%)
$130.01
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.85
Bull Case
$129.05
(+14%)
Analyst growth 7.1%, PE expands to 17.6
Base Case
$117.31
(+4%)
Market implied 7.1%, PE stable at 16.0
Bear Case
$74.50
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 16.2
Stabilization Target:
$118.82
(+6.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-29
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-05
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