DIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DIS - The Walt Disney Company
$94.32
1.90 (2.06%)
▲
5d:
-3.71%
30d:
-11.05%
90d:
-16.94%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DIS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DIS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$157.54
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.82
3.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DIS is currently trading at $94.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $97.10 to $104.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $92.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DIS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.22 (+37.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DIS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $92.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: DIS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $129.22 (+37.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$97.10 -
$104.67
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
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Holding DIS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.0% below Wall St target ($129.22)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$97.10 -
$104.67
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$92.19
Resistance Level
$101.02
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.84
Wall Street Target
$129.23
(+37.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.3%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 15.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.42
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$84.77
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$80.36
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$94.48
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.6%)
$222.14
(+136%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 10.6%)
$127.66
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 10.6%)
$108.51
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.79
Bull Case
$118.59
(+21%)
Analyst growth 8.3%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case
$107.81
(+10%)
Market implied 8.3%, PE stable at 14.7
Bear Case
$67.67
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$110.89
(+17.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 7:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
9
Buys
7
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-17
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-02-10
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DIS price and gamma walls.
