EPR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

EPR - EPR Properties

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$57.35
-0.54 (-0.93%) ▼
5d: -1.6%
30d: +2.61%
90d: -1.95%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EPR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.99
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.98
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: EPR is currently trading at $57.35, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.08 to $57.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, EPR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: EPR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $54.08 - $57.74
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($59.33)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.4% growth with 3.6% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $54.08 - $57.74
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $54.78
Resistance Level $59.05
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.65
Wall Street Target $59.33 (+2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -5.1%
Profit Margin 37.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.4% premium
PE vs Historical 18.7 vs 17.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $58.70 (+1%)
2-Year Target $59.52 (+3%)
3-Year Target $60.36 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→18) PE COMPRESSION $57.93 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 3.0%) $74.68 (+29%)
Base: (SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 3.0%) $63.19 (+9%)
Bear: (PE: 15.9, Growth: 3.0%) $53.71 (-7%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 17.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.24
Bull Case $61.31 (+6%)
Analyst growth -4.2%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case $55.73 (-4%)
Market implied -4.2%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case $39.56 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:29 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Tonya L Mater SELL 2600 shares 2026-04-15
Tonya L Mater SELL 2000 shares 2026-04-14
Brian Andrew Moriarty SELL 5000 shares 2026-03-16

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