EXP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EXP - Eagle Materials, Inc.
$203.81
-8.16 (-3.85%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When EXP Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EXP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: EXP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$251.34
Based on 3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$156.06
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EXP is currently trading at $203.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $211.50 to $230.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXP is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $203.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $236.80 (+11.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EXP is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $203.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $236.80 (+11.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$211.50 -
$230.08
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EXP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($236.80)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 2.5% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.9% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$211.50 -
$230.08
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$203.13
Resistance Level
$234.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.32
Wall Street Target
$236.80
(+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.7%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$213.45
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$214.95
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$216.45
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$211.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 3.8%)
$344.94
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 3.8%)
$236.93
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 3.8%)
$201.39
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $13.58
Bull Case
$244.28
(+20%)
Analyst growth 1.9%, PE expands to 17.7
Base Case
$222.07
(+9%)
Market implied 1.9%, PE stable at 16.1
Bear Case
$148.19
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:25 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is EXP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Building Materials Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Building Materials by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CRH
CRH PLC ADR |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$140 | 58 HOLD |
|
VMC
Vulcan Materials Company |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$322 | 58 HOLD |
|
MLM
Martin Marietta Material… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$681 | 61 BUY |
|
CX
Cemex SAB de CV ADR |
BUY
14 analysts |
$12 | 53 HOLD |
|
KNF
Knife River Corporation |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$97 | 49 HOLD |
Advanced EXP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EXP price and gamma walls.
