F Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
F - Ford Motor Company
$13.56
-0.27 (-1.95%)
▼
5d:
-3.28%
30d:
-11.6%
90d:
+16.8%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 7, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
19d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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1 traders called F this week
0% bullish • 1 bearish
0% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: F shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: F shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.80
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: F is currently trading at $13.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.64 to $15.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 430.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, F is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, F is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.49. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$13.64 -
$15.57
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($14.90)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.64 -
$15.57
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.49
Resistance Level
$17.78
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.41
Wall Street Target
$14.90
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
430.8%
Profit Margin
-3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.33
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$13.10
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$12.88
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$13.56
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.7%)
$55.60
(+310%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 11.7%)
$18.91
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 11.7%)
$16.07
(+19%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 7.8
Stabilization Target:
$14.28
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 08, 2026 5:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is F showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
William Clay Ford Jr
BUY
140000 shares
2026-02-19
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