Is FDX stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, FDX is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: FDX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of FDX stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for FDX to be between $295.73 and $313.98. The current price is $322.25.

What is the analyst price target for FDX?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for FDX is $308.46. This implies a potential upside of -3.6% from current levels.

FDX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FDX - FedEx Corporation

AIR COURIER SERVICES

$322.25

2.32 (0.73%) ▲

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your FDX Gains

Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Mar 19, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FDX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 14.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$471.36

Based on 9.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$292.68

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FDX is currently trading at $322.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $295.73 to $313.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FDX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $322.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Fair Price Range $295.73 - $313.98

Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 49.5%

Protect Your Profits

FDX is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($308.46)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with 13.9% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $295.73 - $313.98

Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $299.25

Resistance Level $322.75

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.06

Wall Street Target $308.46 (-3.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -13.3%

Profit Margin 4.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.0% premium

PE vs Historical 15.1 vs 14.2 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $326.33 (+2%)

2-Year Target $332.86 (+4%)

3-Year Target $339.51 (+6%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→14) PE COMPRESSION $320.18 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.8%) $716.25 (+124%)

Base: (SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 14.8%) $483.63 (+51%)

Bear: (PE: 12.8, Growth: 14.8%) $411.09 (+29%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 17.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $18.06

Bull Case $407.20 (+26%)

Analyst growth 17.6%, PE expands to 19.2

Base Case $370.18 (+15%)

Market implied 17.6%, PE stable at 17.4

Bear Case $213.96 (-34%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.8

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

Last updated: January 30, 2026 11:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:57 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

NEUTRAL

Recent Transactions

Val T. Hoyle SELL 2025-09-23

Marjorie Taylor Greene BUY 2025-08-28

Michael T. McCaul SELL 2025-08-22

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