CHRW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRW - C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
$189.85
-1.42 (-0.74%)
▼
5d:
+5.27%
30d:
+6.35%
90d:
+12.67%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
24d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHRW is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CHRW is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$317.43
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$197.10
3.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRW is currently trading at $189.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $178.65 to $189.28. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.9) is in line with its historical norms (25.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $193.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHRW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $193.98. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHRW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$178.65 -
$189.28
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CHRW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($197.12)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$178.65 -
$189.28
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$175.84
Resistance Level
$193.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.85
Wall Street Target
$197.13
(+3.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
25.9 vs 25.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$190.61
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$191.37
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$192.14
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$190.31
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.8, Growth: 19.4%)
$323.43
(+70%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.4%)
$272.56
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 19.4%)
$231.67
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.94
Bull Case
$312.85
(+65%)
Analyst growth 48.7%, PE expands to 42.6
Base Case
$284.41
(+50%)
Market implied 48.7%, PE stable at 38.7
Bear Case
$130.06
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 1:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHRW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
4
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2026-02-13
Arun Rajan
BUY
605 shares
2026-02-12
David P Bozeman
BUY
1223 shares
2026-02-12
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