CHRW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRW - C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.
$159.78
-3.48 (-2.13%)
▼
5d:
-6.76%
30d:
-4.94%
90d:
-4.77%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
CHRW is down 3.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $170 2026-07-17 with 1,075 OI. Call ratio: 74% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHRW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CHRW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$309.49
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$192.17
16.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRW is currently trading at $159.78, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $165.28 to $182.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.9) compared to its historical average (25.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $150.40, while resistance sits at $185.67.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.42 (+22.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $150.40, while resistance sits at $185.67.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.42 (+22.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$165.28 -
$182.66
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CHRW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.9% below Wall St target ($196.42)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$165.28 -
$182.66
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$150.40
Resistance Level
$185.67
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.93
Wall Street Target
$196.42
(+22.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.9 vs 25.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$151.31
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$143.29
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$135.70
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→26)
$159.67
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 18.6%)
$268.15
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 18.6%)
$266.76
(+67%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 18.6%)
$226.75
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.93
Bull Case
$267.69
(+68%)
Analyst growth 47.8%, PE expands to 36.7
Base Case
$243.36
(+52%)
Market implied 47.8%, PE stable at 33.4
Bear Case
$111.95
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.9 to 25.8
Stabilization Target:
$188.01
(+17.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 6:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHRW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
5
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
April McClain Delaney
BUY
2026-02-13
Arun Rajan
BUY
605 shares
2026-02-12
David P Bozeman
BUY
1223 shares
2026-02-12
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Advanced CHRW Option Strategies
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