JBHT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

JBHT - JB Hunt Transport Services Inc

TRUCKING (NO LOCAL)
$285.83
-4.24 (-1.46%) ▼
5d: +4.06%
30d: +3.72%
90d: +33.92%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026 17d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JBHT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$445.87
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$276.85
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: JBHT is currently trading at $285.83, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $272.09 to $286.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.0) compared to its historical average (26.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, JBHT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $293.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: JBHT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $272.09 - $286.93
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.2%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($257.77)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.1% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $272.09 - $286.93
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$15.72 (5.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $266.43
Resistance Level $293.54
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 31.01
Wall Street Target $257.77 (-9.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 27.4%
Profit Margin 5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.1% premium
PE vs Historical 31.0 vs 26.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $300.41 (+5%)
2-Year Target $315.73 (+11%)
3-Year Target $331.83 (+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 31→27) PE COMPRESSION $285.67 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 31.0, Growth: 24.7%) $554.77 (+94%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.7%) $389.60 (+36%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 24.7%) $331.16 (+16%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.44
Bull Case $456.63 (+60%)
Analyst growth 43.1%, PE expands to 49.6
Base Case $415.12 (+45%)
Market implied 43.1%, PE stable at 45.0
Bear Case $197.25 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:04 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nicholas Hobbs SELL 1272 shares 2026-04-22
James K Thompson SELL 1000 shares 2026-04-21
Jennifer Boattini SELL 2238 shares 2026-02-27

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Advanced JBHT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JBHT price and gamma walls.

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