JBHT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JBHT - JB Hunt Transport Services Inc
$254.66
16.86 (7.09%)
▲
5d:
+5.15%
30d:
+13.6%
90d:
+16.43%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 15, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
JBHT is up 5.1% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $250 2026-06-18 with 166 OI. Put ratio: 62% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JBHT is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: JBHT is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$429.22
Based on 13.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$266.51
4.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBHT is currently trading at $254.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $229.02 to $251.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.1) is in line with its historical norms (25.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBHT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $253.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBHT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $253.59. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$229.02 -
$251.10
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding JBHT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.1%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($234.68)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$229.02 -
$251.10
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$231.48
Resistance Level
$253.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.11
Wall Street Target
$234.68
(-7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.4%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
28.1 vs 25.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$262.55
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$270.69
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$279.09
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$255.19
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.1, Growth: 23.7%)
$481.45
(+89%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 23.7%)
$377.53
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 23.7%)
$320.90
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 36.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.44
Bull Case
$368.02
(+45%)
Analyst growth 40.7%, PE expands to 40.6
Base Case
$334.56
(+31%)
Market implied 40.7%, PE stable at 36.9
Bear Case
$161.70
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBHT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nicholas Hobbs
SELL
1272 shares
2026-04-22
James K Thompson
SELL
1000 shares
2026-04-21
Jennifer Boattini
SELL
2238 shares
2026-02-27
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Advanced JBHT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JBHT price and gamma walls.
