FIGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FIGS - FIGS, Inc.
$14.40
-0.30 (-2.04%)
▼
5d:
-3.81%
30d:
-6.8%
90d:
+21.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
FIGS is down 3.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $12.5 2026-05-15 with 48 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FIGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 16.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: FIGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 16.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.62
Based on 11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.83
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIGS is currently trading at $14.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.63 to $16.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 49.5) compared to its historical average (86.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 748.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.85, while resistance sits at $16.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.31 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $13.85, while resistance sits at $16.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.31 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$12.63 -
$16.46
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.31)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.63 -
$16.46
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.85
Resistance Level
$16.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
49.48
Wall Street Target
$16.31
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
33.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
748.3%
Profit Margin
5.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
49.5 vs 86.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.23
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.91
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.72
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 49→86)
$18.65
(+27%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 49.5, Growth: 18.6%)
$24.50
(+67%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 18.6%)
$11.09
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 18.6%)
$9.43
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (75x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (49x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 74.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.19
Bull Case
$24.44
(+63%)
Analyst growth 56.4%, PE expands to 82.3
Base Case
$22.22
(+48%)
Market implied 56.4%, PE stable at 74.8
Bear Case
$9.66
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 63.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 49.5 to 86.1
Stabilization Target:
$25.58
(+74.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+74.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Heather L Hasson
SELL
556327 shares
2026-03-03
Heather L Hasson
SELL
22874 shares
2026-02-05
Sarah Oughtred
SELL
22690 shares
2026-02-05
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Advanced FIGS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FIGS price and gamma walls.
