FIZZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

FIZZ - National Beverage Corp.

BOTTLED & CANNED SOFT DRINKS & CARBONATED WATERS
$34.08
0.08 (0.24%) ā–²
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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šŸ’”
Bottom Line:
šŸ’” BUY OPPORTUNITY: FIZZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.38
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.83
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: FIZZ is currently trading at $34.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.13 to $33.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.5) is in line with its historical norms (16.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: FIZZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $32.13 - $33.68
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.4%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $32.13 - $33.68
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.47 (4.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $32.82
Resistance Level $34.38
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.51
Wall Street Target $35.00 (+2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 0.5%
Profit Margin 15.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.6% premium
PE vs Historical 16.5 vs 16.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $34.20 (+1%)
2-Year Target $34.41 (+1%)
3-Year Target $34.62 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→16) PE COMPRESSION $33.96 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 1.7%) $48.23 (+42%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 1.7%) $35.72 (+5%)
Bear: (PE: 14.0, Growth: 1.7%) $30.36 (-11%)
šŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.99
Bull Case $37.74 (+11%)
Analyst growth 3.5%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case $34.31 (+1%)
Market implied 3.5%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case $22.55 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 PM
šŸ”„ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced FIZZ Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FIZZ price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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