FIZZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FIZZ - National Beverage Corp.
$34.08
0.08 (0.24%)
ā²
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: FIZZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
š” BUY OPPORTUNITY: FIZZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.38
Based on 2.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.83
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FIZZ is currently trading at $34.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.13 to $33.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.5) is in line with its historical norms (16.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FIZZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FIZZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: FIZZ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$32.13 -
$33.68
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$32.13 -
$33.68
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.47
(4.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$32.82
Resistance Level
$34.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.51
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 16.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.20
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$34.41
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$34.62
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17ā16)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.96
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 1.7%)
$48.23
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 1.7%)
$35.72
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 1.7%)
$30.36
(-11%)
š
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.99
Bull Case
$37.74
(+11%)
Analyst growth 3.5%, PE expands to 18.3
Base Case
$34.31
(+1%)
Market implied 3.5%, PE stable at 16.7
Bear Case
$22.55
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FIZZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced FIZZ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FIZZ price and gamma walls.