FTV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTV - Fortive Corporation
$52.81
-0.27 (-0.51%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FTV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FTV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$71.38
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.32
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTV is currently trading at $52.81, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.72 to $55.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.6) is in line with its historical norms (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTV is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $58.12 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTV is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $52.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $58.12 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$53.72 -
$55.79
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($58.12)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$53.72 -
$55.79
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.43
Resistance Level
$55.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.59
Wall Street Target
$58.13
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.2%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.6 vs 19.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.33
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$51.86
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$51.40
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
$52.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.3%)
$78.33
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.6, Growth: 7.3%)
$65.31
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 7.3%)
$55.52
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.54
Bull Case
$64.94
(+23%)
Analyst growth 11.8%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$59.04
(+12%)
Market implied 11.8%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$35.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.6 to 19.1
Stabilization Target:
$54.25
(+2.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.7%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2025-09-30
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2025-09-22
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2025-09-12
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