CGNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CGNX - Cognex Corp
$65.66
-0.26 (-0.39%)
▼
5d:
+17.38%
30d:
+21.8%
90d:
+54.97%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CGNX is 11.3% above its trading range ($58.97). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CGNX is 11.3% above its trading range ($58.97). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.08
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CGNX is currently trading at $65.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.35 to $58.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 42.7) compared to its historical average (34.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $52.36, while resistance sits at $71.90.
Market Sentiment: CGNX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CGNX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $52.36, while resistance sits at $71.90.
Market Sentiment: CGNX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$50.35 -
$58.97
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.7%
Protect Your Profits
CGNX is technically overbought (RSI 80). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($65.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.5% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.35 -
$58.97
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.36
Resistance Level
$71.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
42.70
Wall Street Target
$65.50
(-0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Profit Margin
11.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.5% premium
PE vs Historical
42.7 vs 34.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.58
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$75.88
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$81.57
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 43→34)
PE COMPRESSION
$65.52
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 42.7, Growth: 23.2%)
$122.70
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 23.2%)
$63.05
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 23.2%)
$53.59
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 33.90 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.94
Bull Case
$79.28
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 35.6
Base Case
$65.66
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 33.9
Bear Case
$50.23
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 30.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 10, 2026 3:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CGNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Angelos Papadimitriou
SELL
4150 shares
2026-02-23
Laura Ann Macdonald
SELL
14881 shares
2026-02-12
Robert Willett
SELL
177052 shares
2026-02-12
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CGNX price and gamma walls.
