FUTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FUTU - Futu Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$162.57
-2.31 (-1.40%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FUTU shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FUTU shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$260.62
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$161.83
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FUTU is currently trading at $162.57, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $162.97 to $178.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.8) is in line with its historical norms (1.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 141.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $160.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $229.48 (+39.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $160.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $229.48 (+39.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$162.97 -
$178.35
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.2% below Wall St target ($229.48)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$162.97 -
$178.35
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$160.00
Resistance Level
$178.49
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.84
Wall Street Target
$229.48
(+39.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
96.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
141.5%
Profit Margin
51.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.8 vs 1.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$161.75
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$158.67
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$155.66
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$160.70
(-3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.9%)
$2951.53
(+1690%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.8, Growth: 13.9%)
$243.59
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.6, Growth: 13.9%)
$207.05
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.92
Bull Case
$370.30
(+128%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$336.64
(+107%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$114.46
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.8 to 1.9
Stabilization Target:
$170.21
(+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.2%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FUTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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