FUTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FUTU - Futu Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
$140.04
3.28 (2.40%)
▲
5d:
-0.4%
30d:
-3.22%
90d:
-15.27%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FUTU appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.6% annual earnings decline despite 79% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: FUTU appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -7.6% annual earnings decline despite 79% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$250.62
Based on 6.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$155.62
10.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FUTU is currently trading at $140.04, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $137.79 to $149.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.3) compared to its historical average (1.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 78.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $130.32, while resistance sits at $144.50.
Market Sentiment: FUTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $229.33 (+63.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FUTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $130.32, while resistance sits at $144.50.
Market Sentiment: FUTU has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $229.33 (+63.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$137.79 -
$149.47
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 63.8% below Wall St target ($229.33)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$137.79 -
$149.47
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$130.32
Resistance Level
$144.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.32
Wall Street Target
$229.33
(+63.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
53.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
78.8%
Profit Margin
53.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.3 vs 1.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$129.40
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$119.56
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$110.48
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→2)
$141.76
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.8%)
$3125.15
(+2132%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.3, Growth: 9.8%)
$185.25
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.1, Growth: 9.8%)
$157.46
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.23
Bull Case
$297.04
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$270.04
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$91.81
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.3 to 1.7
Stabilization Target:
$179.69
(+28.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FUTU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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