SCHW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCHW - The Charles Schwab Corporation
$97.00
1.22 (1.27%)
▲
5d:
+8.45%
30d:
+10.72%
90d:
+5.02%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
17d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCHW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SCHW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$177.33
Based on 11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.11
11.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCHW is currently trading at $97.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $87.38 to $93.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 38.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCHW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SCHW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.58 (+20.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCHW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SCHW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $116.58 (+20.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$87.38 -
$93.11
Company Quality Score
70/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.2% below Wall St target ($116.58)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$87.38 -
$93.11
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.96
Resistance Level
$89.26
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.27
Wall Street Target
$116.58
(+20.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.6%
Profit Margin
38.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 14.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$94.38
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$91.83
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$89.35
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$97.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 18.2%)
$263.20
(+171%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 18.2%)
$160.30
(+65%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 18.2%)
$136.25
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.03
Bull Case
$153.16
(+58%)
Analyst growth 45.4%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$139.24
(+44%)
Market implied 45.4%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$65.13
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$105.30
(+8.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 4:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCHW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul V Woolway
SELL
7941 shares
2026-04-15
Paul V Woolway
SELL
7942 shares
2026-04-14
Nigel J Murtagh
SELL
41297 shares
2026-04-14
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