SCHW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SCHW - The Charles Schwab Corporation
$89.44
-1.73 (-1.90%)
▼
5d:
-0.07%
30d:
-10.8%
90d:
-5.93%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 16, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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5 traders called SCHW this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SCHW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SCHW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$168.18
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.43
14.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SCHW is currently trading at $89.44, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $89.35 to $95.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 38.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCHW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SCHW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.20 (+28.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SCHW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $87.61. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SCHW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $115.20 (+28.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$89.35 -
$95.37
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SCHW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.8% below Wall St target ($115.20)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$89.35 -
$95.37
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$87.61
Resistance Level
$92.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.80
Wall Street Target
$115.20
(+28.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
38.6%
Profit Margin
38.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 15.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$84.88
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$80.55
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$76.44
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$89.58
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 16.0%)
$240.48
(+169%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 16.0%)
$139.65
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 16.0%)
$118.70
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.03
Bull Case
$139.32
(+56%)
Analyst growth 38.9%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$126.66
(+42%)
Market implied 38.9%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$62.00
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.8 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$104.82
(+17.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SCHW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Paul V Woolway
SELL
7941 shares
2026-04-15
Paul V Woolway
SELL
7942 shares
2026-04-14
Nigel J Murtagh
SELL
41297 shares
2026-04-14
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