HOOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HOOD - Robinhood Markets, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$77.14
-3.56 (-4.41%)
▼
5d:
+0.14%
30d:
-11.18%
90d:
+1.54%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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28 traders called HOOD this week
86% bullish • 7 bearish
86% bullish • 7 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HOOD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: HOOD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$121.39
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HOOD is currently trading at $77.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.31 to $85.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 30.9) compared to its historical average (35.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOOD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.25, while resistance sits at $81.93. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.44 (+27.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HOOD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.25, while resistance sits at $81.93. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.44 (+27.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$72.31 -
$85.29
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.6% below Wall St target ($98.44)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.31 -
$85.29
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.25
Resistance Level
$81.93
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.94
Wall Street Target
$98.44
(+27.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Profit Margin
41.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
30.9 vs 35.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.44
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$69.91
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$66.56
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→36)
$77.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.9, Growth: 31.4%)
$175.11
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 31.4%)
$124.92
(+62%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 31.4%)
$106.18
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.06
Bull Case
$103.70
(+34%)
Analyst growth 21.0%, PE expands to 41.6
Base Case
$94.27
(+22%)
Market implied 21.0%, PE stable at 37.8
Bear Case
$52.96
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 30.9 to 35.8
Stabilization Target:
$89.27
(+15.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 4:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HOOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Baiju Bhatt
SELL
57261 shares
2026-04-16
Shiv Verma
SELL
5436 shares
2026-04-15
Steven M Quirk
SELL
8540 shares
2026-04-15
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