GD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GD - General Dynamics Corporation
$343.51
2.72 (0.80%)
▲
5d:
-0.79%
30d:
-5.83%
90d:
+0.89%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
21d
Smart Money Accumulation
GD is down 3.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $400 2026-05-15 with 728 OI. Call ratio: 67% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$512.61
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$318.29
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GD is currently trading at $343.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $347.17 to $360.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (19.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $337.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $394.13 (+15.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $337.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: GD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $394.13 (+15.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$347.17 -
$360.20
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($394.13)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$347.17 -
$360.20
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$337.81
Resistance Level
$358.60
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.82
Wall Street Target
$394.13
(+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.4%
Profit Margin
8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 19.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$335.34
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$329.97
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$324.69
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$339.87
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 11.1%)
$554.38
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 11.1%)
$466.83
(+37%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 11.1%)
$396.80
(+16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.46
Bull Case
$445.25
(+28%)
Analyst growth 17.1%, PE expands to 24.6
Base Case
$404.78
(+17%)
Market implied 17.1%, PE stable at 22.4
Bear Case
$235.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 19.7
Stabilization Target:
$356.72
(+4.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark Lagrand Burns
SELL
10153 shares
2026-03-11
Phebe N Novakovic
SELL
32918 shares
2026-03-11
Marguerite Amy Gilliland
SELL
3819 shares
2026-03-11
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