GOOS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GOOS - Canada Goose Holdings Inc.
$10.41
-0.15 (-1.42%)
▼
5d:
-4.58%
30d:
-15.43%
90d:
-18.8%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
Get Alerted When GOOS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GOOS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GOOS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.45
28.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GOOS is currently trading at $10.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.70 to $12.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.4) compared to its historical average (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GOOS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GOOS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$10.70 -
$12.02
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($10.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.70 -
$12.02
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.87
(8.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.35
Resistance Level
$11.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.40
Wall Street Target
$10.00
(-5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.2%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 16.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.14
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$9.73
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$9.34
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$10.57
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 25.8%)
$32.72
(+210%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 25.8%)
$21.04
(+99%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 25.8%)
$17.88
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 9.12 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.20
Bull Case
$13.17
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case
$10.91
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 9.1
Bear Case
$8.35
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$11.95
(+13.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:46 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GOOS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Apparel Manufacturing Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Apparel Manufacturing by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
RL
Ralph Lauren Corp Class A |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$406 | 54 HOLD |
|
GIL
Gildan Activewear Inc. |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$83 | 52 HOLD |
|
UAA
Under Armour Inc A |
SELL
26 analysts |
$8 | 55 HOLD |
|
LEVI
Levi Strauss & Co Class A |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$27 | 56 HOLD |
|
VFC
VF Corporation |
SELL
24 analysts |
$20 | 56 HOLD |
