HEI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HEI - HEICO Corporation
$273.46
8.44 (3.18%)
▲
5d:
-2.58%
30d:
-16.94%
90d:
-16.94%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HEI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HEI trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.8% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$234.23
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$145.44
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HEI is currently trading at $273.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $276.71 to $327.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 41.9) compared to its historical average (53.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $263.55, while resistance sits at $295.63. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $371.50 (+40.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HEI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $263.55, while resistance sits at $295.63. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $371.50 (+40.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$276.71 -
$327.79
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 40.2% below Wall St target ($371.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$276.71 -
$327.79
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$11.11
(4.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$263.55
Resistance Level
$295.63
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
41.87
Wall Street Target
$371.50
(+40.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Profit Margin
15.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
41.9 vs 53.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$244.35
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$225.29
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$207.72
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42→54)
$265.41
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 41.9, Growth: 12.4%)
$376.34
(+42%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.4%)
$200.89
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 12.4%)
$170.76
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (42x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 54.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.06
Bull Case
$378.62
(+35%)
Analyst growth 25.1%, PE expands to 59.8
Base Case
$344.20
(+23%)
Market implied 25.1%, PE stable at 54.4
Bear Case
$187.11
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 46.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.9 to 53.5
Stabilization Target:
$338.63
(+27.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 1:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HEI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Mark H Hildebrandt
BUY
400 shares
2025-10-21
Adolfo Henriques
BUY
676 shares
2025-10-10
Alan Schriesheim
BUY
672 shares
2025-10-10
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