Is IP stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, IP is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: IP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of IP stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for IP to be between $39.74 and $42.76. The current price is $40.32.

What is the analyst price target for IP?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for IP is $46.80. This implies a potential upside of 20.0% from current levels.

IP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IP - International Paper Co.

PAPER MILLS

$40.32

1.32 (3.38%) ▲

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Apr 28, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: IP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$71.80

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$44.58

9.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IP is currently trading at $40.32, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.74 to $42.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.5) is in line with its historical norms (18.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $37.45, while resistance sits at $43.68. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.80 (+20.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Fair Price Range $39.74 - $42.76

Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 85.2%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($46.80)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with 56.4% revenue growth
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.3% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $39.74 - $42.76

Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $37.45

Resistance Level $43.68

Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.46

Wall Street Target $46.80 (+20.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 56.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -90.1%

Profit Margin -5.3%

Valuation Premium vs History +1.8% premium

PE vs Historical 19.5 vs 18.4 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +1.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $39.70 (+2%)

2-Year Target $40.42 (+4%)

3-Year Target $41.14 (+6%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→18) PE COMPRESSION $38.90 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 1010.1%) $150.80 (+287%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 1010.1%) $131.62 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 16.5, Growth: 1010.1%) $111.88 (+187%)

Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 PM

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Technical Signals Check

Is IP showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna SELL 2025-09-29

Joseph R Saab SELL 9000 shares 2025-09-16

Ro Khanna BUY 2025-08-26

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