IP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
IP - International Paper Co.
$35.70
0.70 (2.00%)
ā²
5d:
-1.22%
30d:
-16.76%
90d:
-10.44%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
IP is down 5.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $52.5 2026-06-18 with 810 OI. Call ratio: 62% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ā BUY SIGNAL: IP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
ā BUY SIGNAL: IP trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.16
37.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IP is currently trading at $35.70, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.34 to $42.66. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.3) compared to its historical average (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.57, while resistance sits at $37.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.47 (+30.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $33.57, while resistance sits at $37.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.47 (+30.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$35.34 -
$42.66
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.2% below Wall St target ($46.47)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$35.34 -
$42.66
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$33.57
Resistance Level
$37.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.31
Wall Street Target
$46.47
(+30.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
53.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-90.1%
Profit Margin
-14.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.3 vs 16.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.49
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$29.56
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$26.90
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12ā16)
$35.62
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 72.0%)
$218.77
(+513%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.3, Growth: 72.0%)
$120.49
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 72.0%)
$102.41
(+187%)
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Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.3 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$47.27
(+32.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is IP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
4
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Anders Gustafsson
BUY
13217 shares
2026-03-12
Anders Gustafsson
BUY
12875 shares
2026-03-11
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
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Advanced IP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IP price and gamma walls.
