KNX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNX - Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. Class A Common Stock
$55.46
-0.09 (-0.16%)
▼
5d:
+2.38%
30d:
-11.86%
90d:
+4.07%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KNX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KNX trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$127.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$79.21
30.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNX is currently trading at $55.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.58 to $60.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.7) compared to its historical average (22.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $56.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KNX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.47 (+16.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $56.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: KNX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.47 (+16.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$53.58 -
$60.76
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($64.47)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$53.58 -
$60.76
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.64
Resistance Level
$56.62
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.71
Wall Street Target
$64.47
(+16.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.3%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.7 vs 22.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.47
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$49.63
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$46.95
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→22)
$55.46
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 56.2%)
$223.59
(+303%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.7, Growth: 56.2%)
$187.18
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 56.2%)
$159.10
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 29.41 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.84
Bull Case
$65.41
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 30.9
Base Case
$54.17
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 29.4
Bear Case
$41.44
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.7 to 22.1
Stabilization Target:
$65.51
(+18.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:32 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Joshua Smith
SELL
5770 shares
2026-02-26
Kevin P Knight
SELL
30000 shares
2026-02-20
James L Fitzsimmons
SELL
5917 shares
2026-02-04
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