TFII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TFII - TFI International Inc.
$139.14
-2.52 (-1.78%)
▼
5d:
-4.56%
30d:
-12.3%
90d:
+25.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TFII shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TFII shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$279.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$173.37
19.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TFII is currently trading at $139.14, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $144.51 to $158.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.4) is in line with its historical norms (20.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $148.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $161.45 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $148.78. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $161.45 (+16.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$144.51 -
$158.43
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($161.45)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$144.51 -
$158.43
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$148.78
Resistance Level
$167.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.41
Wall Street Target
$161.45
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.1%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 20.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$137.75
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$136.37
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$135.01
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$139.12
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.6%)
$380.94
(+174%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 34.6%)
$339.47
(+144%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 34.6%)
$288.55
(+107%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.58
Bull Case
$311.65
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.5
Base Case
$283.32
(+104%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.6
Bear Case
$96.33
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.4 to 20.0
Stabilization Target:
$143.38
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 5:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TFII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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