TFII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TFII - TFI International Inc.
$140.99
-1.76 (-1.23%)
▼
5d:
+1.34%
30d:
+10.31%
90d:
+17.25%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TFII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TFII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$264.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$164.02
14.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TFII is currently trading at $140.99, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $124.91 to $141.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.6) is in line with its historical norms (19.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $144.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TFII is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $144.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$124.91 -
$141.63
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($154.18)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with -0.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$124.91 -
$141.63
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$133.54
Resistance Level
$144.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.63
Wall Street Target
$154.18
(+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.1%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
20.6 vs 19.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$145.32
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$147.94
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$150.60
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$143.11
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 31.2%)
$344.54
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 31.2%)
$322.44
(+126%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.5, Growth: 31.2%)
$274.07
(+92%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.36 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.59
Bull Case
$284.42
(+99%)
Analyst growth 92.8%, PE expands to 41.1
Base Case
$258.56
(+81%)
Market implied 92.8%, PE stable at 37.4
Bear Case
$91.20
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TFII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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