KTB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KTB - Kontoor Brands, Inc. Common Stock
$59.73
0.33 (0.56%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KTB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KTB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.09
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.46
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KTB is currently trading at $59.73, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $58.65 to $61.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KTB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $61.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.62 (+47.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KTB is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $61.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.62 (+47.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$58.65 -
$61.79
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.5% below Wall St target ($87.62)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$58.65 -
$61.79
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.22
(7.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$56.19
Resistance Level
$61.27
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.94
Wall Street Target
$87.63
(+47.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.6%
Profit Margin
7.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.15
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$56.93
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$55.74
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$59.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.7%)
$171.05
(+188%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 8.7%)
$76.27
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.5, Growth: 8.7%)
$64.83
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.88
Bull Case
$97.34
(+63%)
Analyst growth 54.0%, PE expands to 16.3
Base Case
$88.50
(+48%)
Market implied 54.0%, PE stable at 14.8
Bear Case
$39.09
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$63.32
(+6.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KTB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced KTB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KTB price and gamma walls.
