LBRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LBRT - Liberty Energy Inc.
$33.35
-0.13 (-0.39%)
▼
5d:
+5.27%
30d:
+20.05%
90d:
+34.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
LBRT is down 3.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-06-18 with 3,981 OI. Call ratio: 69% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LBRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LBRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.23
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.83
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LBRT is currently trading at $33.35, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.94 to $33.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 92.6) compared to its historical average (106.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LBRT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.75, while resistance sits at $34.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LBRT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $30.75, while resistance sits at $34.48.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$27.94 -
$33.45
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($33.08)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.94 -
$33.45
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.75
Resistance Level
$34.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
92.59
Wall Street Target
$33.08
(-0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.0%
Profit Margin
3.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
92.6 vs 106.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.82
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$30.35
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$28.96
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 93→107)
$33.40
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 92.6, Growth: 15.3%)
$51.17
(+53%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 15.3%)
$12.18
(-64%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 15.3%)
$10.35
(-69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 36.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$18.41
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 40.0
Base Case
$16.74
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 36.4
Bear Case
$22.77
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 92.6 to 106.8
Stabilization Target:
$38.47
(+15.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 7:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LBRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Arjun N Murti
BUY
9696 shares
2026-02-17
Michael Stock
SELL
25000 shares
2026-02-06
R Sean Elliott
SELL
25000 shares
2026-02-06
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Advanced LBRT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LBRT price and gamma walls.
