LFST Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LFST - LifeStance Health Group, Inc. Common Stock
$11.27
-0.16 (-1.40%)
▼
5d:
+14.07%
30d:
+45.23%
90d:
+76.92%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: LFST is 13.2% above its trading range ($9.96). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: LFST is 13.2% above its trading range ($9.96). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.48
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LFST is currently trading at $11.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.52 to $9.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.8) compared to its historical average (22.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LFST is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.61, while resistance sits at $11.62.
Market Sentiment: LFST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LFST is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.61, while resistance sits at $11.62.
Market Sentiment: LFST has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$7.52 -
$9.96
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+13.2% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($10.55)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 8.0% growth expectation is conservative given 1928% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.52 -
$9.96
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.61
Resistance Level
$11.62
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.75
Wall Street Target
$10.55
(-6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1927.5%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.0% premium
PE vs Historical
28.8 vs 22.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.17
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$13.15
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$14.20
(+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.31
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.7, Growth: 25.8%)
$22.46
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 25.8%)
$17.01
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 25.8%)
$14.46
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (76x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 76.34 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.15
Bull Case
$13.61
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 80.2
Base Case
$11.27
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 76.3
Bear Case
$8.62
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 68.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 10:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LFST showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robert Bessler
SELL
5101 shares
2026-04-21
Darren M Black
SELL
4314939 shares
2026-03-02
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