LILAK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LILAK - Liberty Latin America Ltd. Class C Common Stock

CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES
$8.64
0.20 (2.31%) ▲
5d: +4.67%
30d: +8.75%
90d: +13.77%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LILAK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.08
54.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LILAK is currently trading at $8.63, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.79 to $8.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (17.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LILAK is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $8.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: LILAK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $7.79 - $8.31
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.6%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($8.85)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $7.79 - $8.31
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.60 (6.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.75
Resistance Level $8.67
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.57
Wall Street Target $8.85 (+4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -15.5%
Profit Margin -13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -18.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.6 vs 17.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -18.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.60 (-10%)
2-Year Target $6.84 (-19%)
3-Year Target $6.15 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→18) $11.50 (+36%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 57.1%) $66.65 (+690%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 57.1%) $28.48 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 8.1, Growth: 57.1%) $24.21 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 17.9
Stabilization Target: $15.78 (+87.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +87.0%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 12:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian D Zook SELL 94494 shares 2026-02-20

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