Is LYFT stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, LYFT is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: LYFT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of LYFT stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for LYFT to be between $17.99 and $19.70. The current price is $16.87.

What is the analyst price target for LYFT?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for LYFT is $24.16. This implies a potential upside of 36.1% from current levels.

LYFT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LYFT - Lyft, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC

$16.87

-0.88 (-4.96%) ▼

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Last Updated: January 30, 2026

Earnings: Feb 10, 2026 10d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LYFT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$30.50

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$18.94

10.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LYFT is currently trading at $16.87, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.99 to $19.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.3) is in line with its historical norms (30.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 866.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LYFT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: LYFT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.16 (+36.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $17.99 - $19.70

Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 52.4%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
BULLISH: Trading 36.1% below Wall St target ($24.16)
CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.8%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $17.99 - $19.70

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $17.14

Resistance Level $18.99

Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.34

Wall Street Target $24.16 (+36.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 866.2%

Profit Margin 2.4%

Valuation Discount vs History -2.8% cheaper

PE vs Historical 28.3 vs 30.9 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -2.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $17.25 (-3%)

2-Year Target $16.77 (-6%)

3-Year Target $16.30 (-8%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 28→31) $17.77 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 28.3, Growth: 86.5%) $59.91 (+238%)

Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 86.5%) $47.14 (+166%)

Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 86.5%) $40.07 (+126%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 47.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37

Bull Case $32.66 (+84%)

Analyst growth 69.3%, PE expands to 52.2

Base Case $29.69 (+67%)

Market implied 69.3%, PE stable at 47.4

Bear Case $11.93 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.3

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 28.3 to 30.9

Stabilization Target: $19.36 (+9.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +9.0%

Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:04 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Lindsay Catherine Llewel… SELL 14606 shares 2025-09-15

Erin Brewer SELL 15000 shares 2025-09-03

John David Risher BUY 5926 shares 2025-09-03

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Advanced LYFT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LYFT price and gamma walls.

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