LYV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LYV - Live Nation Entertainment Inc.

SERVICES-AMUSEMENT & RECREATION SERVICES
$145.45
-2.33 (-1.58%) ▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026 18d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LYV shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.27
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.15
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LYV is currently trading at $145.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $142.39 to $147.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 78.1) is in line with its historical norms (72.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LYV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $137.50, while resistance sits at $149.91.

Market Sentiment: LYV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $169.48 (+14.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $142.39 - $147.45
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 84.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($169.48)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.6% growth with 11.1% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $142.39 - $147.45
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $137.50
Resistance Level $149.91
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 78.12
Wall Street Target $169.48 (+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -56.1%
Profit Margin 3.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.6% premium
PE vs Historical 78.1 vs 72.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $151.62 (+3%)
2-Year Target $155.56 (+5%)
3-Year Target $159.61 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 78→72) PE COMPRESSION $147.92 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (97x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (78x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 97.09 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.50
Bull Case $175.63 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 101.9
Base Case $145.45 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 97.1
Bear Case $111.27 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 87.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:43 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced LYV Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LYV price and gamma walls.

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