MTW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTW - The Manitowoc Company, Inc.
$12.92
-0.01 (-0.08%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
10d
Get Alerted When MTW Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MTW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MTW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.32
15.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTW is currently trading at $12.92, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.52 to $13.65. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$12.52 -
$13.65
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
27th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 27th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 22.7% above Wall St target ($10.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$12.52 -
$13.65
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.83
(6.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.60
Resistance Level
$13.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.33
Wall Street Target
$10.00
(-22.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.5%
Profit Margin
2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.03
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$13.14
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$13.24
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.98
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 141.5%)
$59.61
(+361%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: 141.5%)
$43.64
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 141.5%)
$37.09
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.60
Bull Case
$6.99
(-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case
$6.35
(-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$8.64
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:41 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CAT
Caterpillar Inc |
BUY
28 analysts |
$624 | 70 BUY |
|
DE
Deere & Company |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$528 | 66 BUY |
|
CNH
CNH Industrial N.V. |
BUY
19 analysts |
$13 | 58 HOLD |
|
PCAR
PACCAR Inc |
HOLD
21 analysts |
$117 | 58 HOLD |
|
OSK
Oshkosh Corporation |
BUY
16 analysts |
$156 | 51 HOLD |
Advanced MTW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MTW price and gamma walls.
