What is the fair value of MU stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MU to be between $370.80 and $437.33. The current price is $337.84.

What is the analyst price target for MU?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MU is $527.60. This implies a potential upside of 56.2% from current levels.

MU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MU - Micron Technology, Inc.

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES

$337.84

16.04 (4.98%) ▲

5d: -14.59%

30d: -18.13%

90d: +14.77%

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LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Mar 18, 2026 0d

NEW THESIS The Datacenter CPU Renaissance (2026)

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Smart Money Distribution

MU is up 9.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $390 2026-05-15 with 19,764 OI. Put ratio: 60% View Scanner →

Strength: 5.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MU is down 14.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$2111.00

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$1310.76

74.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MU is currently trading at $337.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $370.80 to $437.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.4) compared to its historical average (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 32.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 756.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $311.49, while resistance sits at $471.34. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: MU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $527.60 (+56.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Fair Price Range $370.80 - $437.33

Company Quality Score 41/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 61.9%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.0%)
BULLISH: Trading 56.2% below Wall St target ($527.60)
WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $370.80 - $437.33

Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $311.49

Resistance Level $471.34

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Mar 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.43

Wall Street Target $527.60 (+56.2%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 196.3%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 756.0%

Profit Margin 41.5%

Valuation Discount vs History -32.1% cheaper

PE vs Historical 3.4 vs 11.0 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -32.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $304.06 (-10%)

2-Year Target $273.65 (-19%)

3-Year Target $246.29 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 3→11) $790.26 (+134%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 70.6%) $7433.63 (+2100%)

Base: (SPY PE: 3.4, Growth: 70.6%) $1140.21 (+238%)

Bear: (PE: 2.9, Growth: 70.6%) $969.18 (+187%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 19.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $21.19

Bull Case $930.34 (+130%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 22.0

Base Case $845.76 (+109%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 20.0

Bear Case $287.56 (-29%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.4 to 11.0

Stabilization Target: $1084.03 (+220.9%)

PE Expansion Potential: +220.9%

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Last updated: April 01, 2026 12:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:38 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2026-02-24

Tony Wied BUY 2026-02-19

Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2026-02-10

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