NEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEM - Newmont Corporation
$112.35
-14.58 (-11.49%)
▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
19d
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5 traders called NEM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NEM is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NEM is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$217.84
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$135.26
16.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEM is currently trading at $112.35, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $103.41 to $121.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $111.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: NEM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $111.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: NEM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$103.41 -
$121.61
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NEM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-11.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($123.34)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.6% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$103.41 -
$121.61
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$111.28
Resistance Level
$134.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.09
Wall Street Target
$123.35
(-2.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
108.1%
Profit Margin
33.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$132.39
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$138.08
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$144.02
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$126.93
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 31.6%)
$427.61
(+237%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 31.6%)
$289.38
(+128%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 31.6%)
$245.97
(+94%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.49
Bull Case
$181.05
(+43%)
Analyst growth 29.6%, PE expands to 21.5
Base Case
$164.59
(+30%)
Market implied 29.6%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$86.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bruce R Brook
SELL
2080 shares
2025-10-01
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Bruce R Brook
SELL
2077 shares
2025-09-02
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Advanced NEM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NEM price and gamma walls.
